Market Connection: December 2023 Market Outlook and Report

Pam Dela Cruz • December 12, 2023

Are the Top 3 Housing Market Questions on Your Mind?

When it comes to what’s happening in the housing market, there’s a lot of confusion going around right now. You may hear one thing in conversation with your friends, see something totally different on the news, and read something on social media that contradicts both of those thoughts. And, if you’re thinking about making a move, that can leave you with a lot of lingering questions. That’s where a trusted local real estate agent comes in.

Here are the top 3 questions people are asking about today’s housing market, and the data to help answer them.

1. What’s Next for Mortgage Rates?


Mortgage rates are higher than they’ve been in recent years. And, if you’re looking to buy a home, that impacts how much you can afford. That’s why so many buyers want to know what’s ahead for mortgage rates. The answer to that question is: no one can say for certain, but here’s what we know based on historical trends.


There’s a long-standing relationship between mortgage rates and inflation. Basically, when inflation is high, mortgage rates tend to follow suit. Over the past year, inflation was up, so mortgage rates were as well. But inflation is easing now. And this is why the Federal Reserve has recently paused their federal funds rate hikes, which means many experts believe mortgage rates will begin to come down.


And in some ways, we’ve started to see hints of slightly lower mortgage rates in recent weeks. But it’s certainly been volatile and will likely continue to be that way going into next year. Some ongoing variation is to be expected, but the anticipation is, that in 2024, we’ll see a downward trend. As Aziz Sunderji, Strategist at Home Economics, says:

2. Where Are Home Prices Headed?


While there’s been a lot of concern prices would come crashing down this year, data shows that didn’t happen. In fact, home prices are rising in most of the nation. Experts say that trend will continue, just at a slower pace that’s much more normal for the housing market – and that’s a good thing.


To help show just how confident experts are in this continued appreciation, take a look at the Home Price Expectation Survey from Pulsenomics. It’s a survey of a national panel of over 100 economists, real estate experts, and investment and market strategists. As the graph below shows, the consensus is, that prices will keep climbing next year, and in the years to come.

3. Is a Recession Around the Corner?


While recession talk has been a common thing over the past few years, there’s good news on that front.


The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) polls experts on this topic regularly. And last year at this time, most of them thought a recession would have happened by now. But as experts look at all the leading indicators today, they’re changing their minds and saying a recession is getting less and less likely. The latest results show that more experts now think we’re not headed for another recession (see chart below):

This is big news for the housing market. And while the 48% to 52% split may seem close to half and half, the key thing to focus on is that the majority of these experts think we’ve avoided a recession.

MY TAKE

Caroline's take on the latest market trends

Despite the current uncertainties, remember that the housing market is cyclical and long-term trends remain positive. Burlingame's desirable location, strong job market, and limited inventory continue to support property values.


For sellers, this is a time to strategize with your agent. Preparing your home for sale and pricing it competitively will be key to attracting buyers in a shifting market.


For buyers, patience and a clear understanding of your financial goals are essential. While you may need to adjust your expectations slightly, opportunities exist for those who are prepared and proactive.


Don't let fear dictate your decision-making. Contact us today to discuss your specific situation and develop a personalized strategy to achieve your real estate goals.

Market Report December 2023

Here's the latest December 2023 Market Update showing year-over-year data. The data includes all Single-family homes and condos & Townhomes in the California Area sourced from MLS Listings for the period from November 2022 thru November 2023. This may include preliminary data and may vary from the time this data was gathered. All data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Content from this article is courtesy of Keeping Current Matters.

FOR NEWS INQUIRIES


Kyle Henry

Director of Marketing


Kyle.H@CarolineHuo.com

650.727.1308

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