Market Connection: October 2023 Market Outlook and Report

Pam Dela Cruz • October 23, 2023

Home Prices are not Falling.

During the fourth quarter of last year, some housing experts projected home prices were going to crash in 2023. The media ran with those forecasts and put out headlines calling for doom and gloom in the housing market. All of this negative news coverage made a lot of people have doubts about the strength of the residential real estate market.


Home Prices Never Crashed

Disregard what you saw in the headlines. The actual data shows home prices were remarkably resilient and performed far better than the media would have you believe (see graph below):


This graph uses reports from three trusted sources to clearly illustrate prices have already rebounded after experiencing only slight declines nationally. That’s a far cry from the crash so many articles called for.



The declines that did happen (shown in red), weren’t drastic but were short-lived. As Nicole Friedman, a reporter at the Wall Street Journal (WSJ), says:

Even though some media coverage made a big deal about home prices pulling back, the slight correction that happened is already in the rearview mirror. Basically, this data shows you home prices aren’t falling anymore; they’re actually going back up.


What’s Next for Home Prices?

The consensus among experts is that home price growth will continue in the years ahead and is returning to normal levels for the market. That means we’ll still see home prices appreciate, just at a slower pace than the last few years, and that’s a good thing.


Some news sources will see home price growth slowing and put out stories that make you think prices are falling again. The return of misleading headlines like those is already having an impact on how homebuyers are feeling again. You can see how this affects general opinion in the Consumer Confidence Survey from Fannie Mae (see graph below):


While the percentage of Americans who think prices will fall has been slowly declining this year, the latest Consumer Confidence data indicates that’s ticked back up recently (shown in red). This change is surprising especially since the home price data shows prices are going up, not down. It tells you the impact the media still has on public opinion.


Don’t fall for the negative headlines and become part of this statistic. Remember, data from a number of sources shows home prices aren’t falling anymore.


Bottom Line

Even though the media may make things sound doom and gloom, the data shows home prices aren’t falling anymore. So, don’t let the headlines scare you or delay your plans. Lean on a real estate professional so you have a trusted resource to cut through the noise and tell you what’s really happening in your area.


MY TAKE

Caroline's take on the latest market trends

National news headline driven, and their goal is less to educate you as much as it is capture your attention. While values have been slightly declining since March 2023, at this point, we are beginning to see the return of positive values. This is not an overall decline in the market, but rather a correction or a return to the normal market from the crazy outliers of 2021 and 2022. At the end of the day, real estate presents a lucrative long-term investment opportunity. If you purchased your home in 2019 or 2020, you are like already seeing positive value and appreciation in your home.


Would you like to know all the options?


We are always here to help you select the best strategy for you.


Market Report September 2023

Here's the latest October 2023 Market Update showing year-over-year data. The data includes all Single-family homes and condos & Townhomes in the California Area sourced from MLS Listings for the period from August 2022 thru August 2023. This may include preliminary data and may vary from the time this data was gathered. All data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Content from this article is courtesy of Keeping Current Matters.

FOR NEWS INQUIRIES


Kyle Henry

Director of Marketing


Kyle.H@CarolineHuo.com

650.727.1308

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