A Drop in Equity Doesn’t Mean Low Equity

Pam Dela Cruz • August 1, 2023

You may see media coverage talking about a drop in homeowner equity. What’s important to understand is that equity is tied closely to home values. So, when home prices appreciate, you can expect equity to grow. And when home prices decline, equity does too. Here’s how this has played out recently.


Home prices rose rapidly during the ‘unicorn’ years. That gave homeowners a considerable equity boost. But those ‘unicorn’ years couldn’t last forever. The market had to moderate at some point, and that’s what we saw last fall and winter.


Equity was impacted as home prices decreased modestly in the second half of 2022. According to CoreLogic's most recent data, homeowner equity decreased over the previous year by 0.7%. The headlines covering that development, though, don't give the full story. Despite the fact that equity decreased due to a decline in property prices in the second half of last year, the data shows homeowners still have near-record amounts of equity.


The graph below helps illustrate this point by looking at the total amount of tappable equity in this country going all the way back to 2005. Tappable equity is the amount of equity available for homeowners to access before hitting a maximum 80% loan-to-value ratio (LTV). As the data shows, there was a significant equity boost during the ‘unicorn’ years as home prices rapidly appreciated (see the purple in the graph below).


But here’s what’s key to realize – even though there’s been a small dip, total homeowner equity is still much higher than it was before the ‘unicorn’ years.

And there’s more good news. Recent home price reports show the worst home price declines are behind us, and prices have started to go up again. As Selma Hepp, Chief Economist at CoreLogic, explains:


“Home equity trends closely follow home price changes. As a result, while the average amount of equity declined from a year ago, it increased from the fourth quarter of 2022, as monthly home prices growth accelerated in early 2023.”


The last part of that quote is particularly important and is the piece of the puzzle the news is leaving out. To further emphasize the positive turn we’re already seeing, experts say home prices are forecast to appreciate at a more normal rate over the next year. In the same report, Hepp puts it this way:


“The average U.S. homeowner now has more than $274,000 in equity – up significantly from $182,000 before the pandemic. Also, while homeowners in some areas of the country who bought a property last spring have no equity as a result of price losses, forecasted home price appreciation over the next year should help many borrowers regain some of that lost equity.”


And even though Odeta Kushi, Deputy Chief Economist at First American, references a slightly different number, Kushi further validates the fact that homeowners have a lot of equity right now.


That means if you’ve owned your home for a few years, you likely still have way more equity than you did before the ‘unicorn’ years. And if you’ve owned your home for a year or less, the price appreciation over the next year should mean your equity is already on the way back up.



Bottom Line

Context is everything when looking at headlines. While homeowner equity dropped some from last year, it’s still near all-time highs. Reach out to a trusted real estate professional so you can get the answers you deserve from an expert who is in the field and boots on the ground.

MY TAKE

Caroline's take on the latest market trends

Real estate presents a lucrative long-term investment opportunity. Beyond the satisfaction of owning and enjoying a home, the recent rapid appreciation of home values has further enhanced the benefits of homeownership. By undertaking renovations to increase your property's value or reinvesting in the market to expand your portfolio, there are various avenues to maximize your investment without having to sell your home. Explore the multitude of options available and make your investment work for you!


Would you like to know all the options?


We are always here to help you select the best strategy for you.


This review is focused on single-family homes and does not include condominiums unless specifically noted. AVG DOM refers to average days on market. The abbreviation SQFT refers to square footage. Data sources: BrokerMetrics. All information is reliable but not guaranteed. If your property is listed for sale, this is not a solicitation.

FOR NEWS INQUIRIES


Kyle Henry

Director of Marketing


Kyle.H@CarolineHuo.com

650.727.1308

Share & Stay in the Know

By Kyle Henry February 12, 2025
As we embark on a new year, many of us turn our attention to planning for the future, ensuring not only our own well-being but also the security and prosperity of our loved ones. For those with substantial assets, particularly in the realm of real estate, a comprehensive estate plan is not merely prudent, it is essential. In San Mateo county where the average home value is $1,546,857, up 4.8% over the past year, this includes practically every homeowner. A living trust, stands as a cornerstone of such a plan, offering a multitude of advantages that extend far beyond a simple will. This blog will discuss ten compelling reasons why you should consider establishing a living trust in 2025: 1. Evading the Labyrinth of Probate. One of the most significant benefits of a living trust is its ability to circumvent the often protracted and costly probate process. Instead of your assets being tied up in legal proceedings, they pass directly to your beneficiaries, ensuring timely access to their inheritance. 2. Preserving Privacy. Unlike a will, which becomes a matter of public record upon probate, a living trust remains a private document. This confidentiality safeguards your family's privacy, shielding your family's financial affairs from unwanted scrutiny. 3. Planning for Potential Incapacity. A well-structured living trust incorporates provisions for managing your assets should you become incapacitated. This foresight ensures that your financial matters are handled according to your wishes, removing the need for potentially intrusive court intervention. 4. Unparalleled Flexibility and Control. During your lifetime, you retain complete control over the assets within your living trust. You possess the power to amend or even revoke the trust as your circumstances evolve, providing flexibility. 5. Mitigating Estate Tax Burden. Depending on the value of your estate, a living trust can be strategically designed to minimize estate taxes, thereby maximizing the wealth ultimately transferred to your beneficiaries. 6. Bypassing Ancillary Probate. If your real estate portfolio spans multiple states, a living trust can help your heirs avoid the complexities and expenses of separate probate proceedings in each jurisdiction. This streamlined approach saves time, resources, and emotional strain. 7. Facilitating a Seamless Transition. This simplifies the transfer of assets to your beneficiaries, eliminating the need for court oversight and making the transition smoother and less stressful for those you leave behind. 8. Protecting Vulnerable Beneficiaries. Within your living trust, you can establish provisions to protect beneficiaries who may be minors, have special needs, or lack experience in managing substantial assets. This safeguards their inheritance and ensures it benefits them most effectively. 9. Creating Generational Wealth. A living trust offers a mechanism to ensure your assets are managed and distributed according to your wishes, even if your primary beneficiaries predecease you. This provides a level of control and continuity over generational wealth, securing your legacy for the future. 10. Achieving Long-Term Cost Savings. While establishing a living trust involves upfront costs, it can ultimately lead to substantial savings by avoiding probate fees, potential legal challenges, and other associated expenses. It is an investment in peace of mind and financial prudence. Partnering with Experts: Securing Your Future Crafting a comprehensive estate plan, particularly one incorporating a living trust often requires the guidance of experienced legal professionals. For those seeking expertise in this area, we have several excellent legal resources for any situation to help you navigate estate planning and trust administration. As you contemplate your goals for 2025 and beyond, consider the profound benefits of a living trust. It is more than a legal document; it's a testament to your commitment to your loved ones and the preservation of your legacy. Contact us today to discuss how a living trust is an important element of your real estate planning goals.
By Marketly Team January 21, 2025
The advent of a new year invariably inspires reflection and the setting of ambitious goals. For many, these aspirations may include the allure of a new home – a sanctuary that perfectly reflects their evolving needs and desires. However, the path to realizing this dream can appear daunting. Where does one begin? How does one navigate the complexities of the modern real estate landscape? This guide aims to provide discerning individuals like yourself with the insights and strategies necessary to successfully embark on your 2025 real estate journey. 
By Kyle Henry January 14, 2025
Set your real estate goals for 2025 with expert insights tailored for buyers, sellers, and investors in the Bay Area. Discover why this year is perfect for achieving your dream home, upgrading, or investing in high-value properties. Start planning today!
By Marketly Team December 19, 2024
The holiday season can be a time of joy, but it often comes with stress and overwhelm. In this guide to holiday wellness, we share practical tips on healthy eating, stress-reducing activities, and mindful practices, all tailored to help you maintain balance during the festivities. Explore our curated list of the best wellness resources in the Bay Area, including top spas, meditation centers, and yoga studios, to help you find tranquility amidst the holiday hustle.
By Marketly Team December 12, 2024
A Strategic Move for Maximum Impact. While spring is often seen as the peak season for real estate, winter offers a unique opportunity to sell your home with less competition and more motivated buyers. Discover how to capitalize on this strategic advantage and position your property for a successful sale.
By Kyle Henry November 25, 2024
Explore the best places to live in the San Francisco Bay Area! From Burlingame’s charming downtowns to Redwood City’s booming tech scene, discover why neighborhoods like San Mateo, Belmont, and San Carlos are ideal for families, professionals, and anyone seeking the perfect place to call home. Read on to find out what makes these cities stand out and why they could be the perfect fit for your next move.
By Kyle Henry November 22, 2024
Are you feeling discouraged by high home prices and wondering if owning a home is even possible? There’s still a way to achieve homeownership, even when affordability feels like a major challenge: consider a fixer-upper. Let’s explore how this option can help you take the first step into homeownership and what it takes to make it work. What Is a Fixer-Upper? A fixer-upper is a home that’s move-in ready but needs varying levels of updates or repairs. Some may require simple cosmetic changes, like fresh paint or new flooring, while others might need more significant improvements, such as roof replacements or plumbing upgrades. Since these homes often require some level of effort to enhance, they’re typically priced lower than comparable move-in-ready homes. In fact, a study by StorageCafe reveals that fixer-uppers are generally priced about 29% below market value. This affordability is one reason why more buyers are considering fixer-uppers as a viable option (see graph).
November 4, 2024
CKH Clients, Friends & Family, join us for our annual Holiday Party
By Kyle Henry October 18, 2024
Discover essential tips for investors looking to maximize their rental property investments. Learn how to build the perfect team, from property managers and legal experts to 1031 Exchange specialists, to ensure long-term success and profitability.
By Kyle Henry October 15, 2024
Proposition 19: What You Need to Know
More Posts
Share by: